ELEPHANTS IN OAKLAND
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Pitching, Defense and the Three Run Jimmy-Jack


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Tuesday, August 31, 2004
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KNOWING ME, KNOWING YOU


or

MONEY, MONEY, MONEY


    Therefore, the superior militarist strikes while schemes are being laid.

    the Art of War

So.

What do you want to talk about?

Oh. We can discuss that.

DEPARTMENT FOR ACQUISTIONS AND DISPOSITIONS


Let's look at the bigger picture for a moment.

The July 31st trade deadline in MLB is a misnomer. Players can be acquired throughout the season. However, after July 31st, players must pass through waivers prior to being acquired or dealt away. Let's not get bogged down by the details of waivers, just now.

September 1st looms as the day a player eligible for the post-season roster must be on a team's 25-Man Roster creates a side issue. Players can be acquired on August 31st, placed on the 25-Man Roster and be placed on the post-season roster. In other words, a player can play for the Montreal Expos for an entire season and then be dealt to a contender and earn a World Series ring for 6-7 weeks of 'work'. Not a bad deal, there.

The July 31st deadline seems rather arbitrary at this point and fiscally irresponsible. This seems like another area of encroachment for Oakland Research & Development/Billy Beane & Co, LLC.

Why acquire a player in July when you can limp along until the last week of August and forego paying six weeks of a player's salary? Granted, MLB players are not paid like the rest of us. Actually they are. Players are paid on a pay schedule, just like the rest of us. Though the direct deposits are certainly with more frequent commas and digits involved.

That being said, a shrewd General manager, can side-step bickering back and forth with another shrewd General Manager about a the salary left on a player's contract. Holding up a transaction over how much each side will absorb could be alleviated. A shrewd General manager culd use the pay schedule to their advantage and miss a payment or two and wait until the last minute to acquire a high-priced player, say Jeff Kent.

    MIDDLEBAR:
    The A's have been rumored to be acquiring Jeff Kent and dumping Arthur Rhodes off on the Houston Astros for almost six weeks. Rhodes was rumored to be going to Houston just after the deal that brought Octavio Dotel to Oakland.

    There are the standard arguments against acquiring Kent:

  • he's a guy who is from Orange County who talks with a faux southern accent

  • sports a mustache

  • rides motorcycles

  • drives a jacked up 4X4 truck

  • and is a 'clubhouse cancer'

  • he's a 36 year old second baseman the A's already have a 39 year old at second



  • There are the standard arguments to acquire Kent:

  • he's only going to cost $1.85 Million for the rest of the year

  • he's a solid right-handed hitting second baseman that can also play first

  • the A's will get two first round draft picks in 2005 as compensation when Kent leaves for free agency.



  • The A's ownership does not want to spend a single cent more than have to for the rest of the year and a dilemma is created with the draft picks. If the A's fail to make the playoffs the team is essentially paying $2 million to sign two first round draft picks which could cost them another $4-5 million dollars.

    Yah, that's a pretty bad argument.

    There is every reason to acquire Kent to get to the post-season and advance. There's every reason to acquire Kent for his bat or even Carlos Lee from Chicago.

    There's every reason to acquire Kent just for the opportunity to snare two more first round draft picks in 2005. Kent's contract includes options for the next few years but the contract is not vested if the option is not picked up.

    This is a no-brainer situation. Which somehow is hand-in-hand with the A's ownership. It always seems that Schott and Hoffman have no clue what they are doing and then Billy Beane pitches in and they come out smelling like a rose.

The difficulty comes when after 80% of a teams games are played for a season a new acquisition is brought in as an upgrade. At least that would be the case on a 'contending' team. The positive side is that with the September 1st Call-Ups (when teams are allowed to expand their rosters to 40 players within the organization) there does not to be any significant movement on the 40 Man Roster. The 25 Man Roster would not have to be refined until closer to the post-season.

Now, with the A's, September Call-Ups are a double-edged sword. Namely the A's won't have any for a week or two. The A's organization has a solid win-loss record up and down the line.

2004 Pacific Coast League Standings (AAA)
CentralWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Iowa 74 62 .544 --- 37-32 37-30 9-Jan Lost 5
Colorado Springs 73 63 .537 1 37-30 36-33 8-2 Lost 1
Omaha 68 69 .496 6 1/2 37-32 31-37 8-2 Won 5
Albuquerque 63 74 .460 11 1/2 34-34 29-40 2-9 Lost 7









EasternWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Oklahoma 79 58 .577 --- 40-29 39-29 7-3 Won 1
Memphis 70 67 .511 9 38-30 32-37 5-5 Won 2
New Orleans 63 74 .460 16 36-33 27-41 6-4 Won 3
Nashville 60 75 .444 18 34-37 26-38 3-7 Lost 3









NorthernWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Portland 79 58 .577 --- 44-24 35-34 7-3 Won 5
Tacoma 74 60 .552 3 1/2 37-26 37-34 3-7 Lost 5
Edmonton 66 71 .482 13 39-26 27-45 4-6 Lost 2
Salt Lake 54 83 .394 25 31-38 23-45 6-4 Won 2









SouthernWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Sacramento 76 61 .555 --- 43-29 33-32 5-5 Won 1
Tucson 70 66 .515 5 1/2 42-30 28-36 7-3 Lost 1
Las Vegas 63 74 .460 13 35-33 28-41 6-4 Won 1
Fresno 60 77 .438 16 29-36 31-41 3-7 Lost 1


On a side note; Mike Rose (catcher) and Dan Johnson (1st base) were named to the All Pacific Coast League Team (sort of like an after season All Star team that doesn't actually exist but on paper - Graham Koonce was named to the team last season).

2004 Texas League Standings (AA)
EastWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Frisco 40 24 .625 --- 22-11 18-13 8-2 Won 3
Wichita 33 31 .516 7 17-10 16-21 3-7 Lost 3
Tulsa 30 34 .469 10 17-15 13-19 2-8 Lost 2
Arkansas 25 39 .391 15 15-20 10-19 4-6 Won 1









WestWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Round Rock 37 27 .578 --- 24-12 13-15 8-2 Won 2
San Antonio 34 28 .548 2 20-13 14-15 7-3 Won 3
MIDLAND 32 32 .500 5 18-14 14-18 5-5 Lost 1
El Paso 23 39 .371 13 11-15 12-24 3-7 Lost 3

Another side note: Nelson Cruz was named Player of the week; 12 for 29 3 HR 10 RBI one walk and 5 runs.

2004 California League Standings (High A)
NorthWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Modesto 43 20 0.683 --- 21-7 22-13 1-Sep Won 6
Stockton 35 28 0.556 8 16-13 19-15 6-Apr Lost 5
San Jose 31 32 0.492 12 17-13 14-19 6-Apr Won 1
Bakersfield 27 36 0.429 16 13-17 14-19 5-May Lost 2
Visalia 19 44 0.302 24 25-Aug 19-Nov 6-Apr Lost 1









SouthWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Lancaster 39 24 0.619 --- 19-10 20-14 4-Jun Lost 1
Inland Empire 35 28 0.556 4 18-11 17-17 6-Apr Won 1
Lake Elsinore 33 30 0.524 6 19-17 14-13 2-Aug Won 5
Rancho Cucamonga 32 31 0.508 7 18-19 14-12 6-Apr Lost 2
High Desert 21 42 0.333 18 26-Aug 13-16 8-Feb Lost 5


Yet, another note; The California regular season is over this week so playoffs are set to being next week.



2004 Midwest League Standings (Low A)
EasternWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
West Michigan 37 26 0.587 --- 19-14 18-12 8-2 Lost 1
Lansing 35 28 0.556 2 17-18 18-10 5-5 Won 1
Battle Creek 34 29 0.54 3 14-18 20-11 5-5 Won 1
Fort Wayne 33 30 0.524 4 20-11 13-19 4-Jun Won 3
South Bend 31 32 0.492 6 14-17 17-15 5-5 Won 2
Dayton 18 45 0.286 19 8-24 10-21 2-8 Lost 3









WesternWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Kane County 37 26 0.587 --- 19-12 18-14 5-5 Lost 1
Clinton 34 29 0.54 3 14-18 20-11 7-3 Lost 1
Quad Cities 33 30 0.524 4 17-14 16-16 7-3 Won 3
Beloit 32 31 0.508 5 13-15 19-16 5-5 Lost 3
Burlington-A 31 32 0.492 6 14-17 17-15 6-4 Won 3
Peoria 31 32 0.492 6 16-16 15-16 3-7 Lost 3
Cedar Rapids 29 34 0.46 8 11-20 18-14 3-7 Lost 4
Wisconsin 26 37 0.413 11 15-16 11-21 8-Feb Won 1


Notey note; Brad Knox and Steve Bondurant were named to the Midwest League Post Season All Star Team. If you were waiting around for the A's next stream of great starters - these guys are on the fast track. Kane County and the A's also renewed their associated through 2006. The Midwest League Playoffs last deep into September. Odds are long that any player from Low A ball would make the cut for Call-Ups

2004 Northwest League Standings (Short-Season A)
EastWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Boise 40 30 0.571 --- 17-15 23-15 8-2 Lost 1
Tri City 38 32 0.543 2 22-16 16-16 7-3 Won 1
Spokane 36 34 0.514 4 20-15 16-19 5-5 Won 2
Yakima 32 38 0.457 8 16-19 16-19 3-7 Lost 2









WestWLPCTGBHOMEAWAYL 10STREAK
Vancouver 39 30 0.565 --- 24-11 15-19 7-3 Won 1
Everett 38 32 0.543 1 1/2 19-16 19-16 3-7 Lost 1
Salem Keizer 34 36 0.486 5 1/2 20-15 14-21 4-6 Lost 2
Eugene 22 47 0.319 17 13-21 9-26 3-7 Won 2


Note of Importance; Outfielder Javier Herrera was named Northwest League MVP for 2004..

2004 Northwest League MVP -Javier Herrera
BattersBASLGGABRH TB2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBCSE
Herrera .343 .573 58 239 44 82 137 14 4 11 44 19 49 21 1 4



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Monday, August 30, 2004
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DELAYED REACTION



A's SPLITS vs RIGHT-HANDED PITCHING

BAOBPSLG OPSGABRH2B3BHRTBRBIBBSO
Mark Kotsay .304 .357 .444 .801 115 358 42 109 24 1 8 159 36 30 41
Jermaine Dye .253 .300 .446 .746 118 332 57 84 18 2 14 148 47 19 95
Eric Byrnes .264 .319 .438 .757 107 322 45 85 18 1 12 141 44 18 71
Bobby Crosby .266 .334 .442 .776 118 319 36 85 23 0 11 141 39 28 87
Scott Hatteberg .308 .402 .482 .883 120 299 58 92 19 0 11 144 56 51 19
Erubiel Durazo .341 .415 .582 .997 113 287 56 98 21 0 16 167 49 33 47
Marco Scutaro .274 .287 .348 .635 103 270 26 74 17 0 1 94 20 5 38
Damian Miller .283 .347 .447 .795 88 219 22 62 15 0 7 98 39 21 49
Eric Chavez .251 .385 .548 .933 93 219 46 55 11 0 18 120 38 49 36
Mark McLemore .268 .364 .335 .699 60 179 21 48 9 0 1 60 13 26 22
Adam Melhuse .270 .316 .473 .789 49 148 13 40 9 0 7 70 19 10 33
Bobby Kielty .165 .292 .235 .527 66 115 10 19 3 1 1 27 10 19 29
Billy McMillon .196 .281 .304 .585 36 56 7 11 3 0 1 17 5 7 9


A few things come to mind when reviewing these numbers...why the hell can't the A's produce against right-handed pitching? Some of the numbers put up by Skootch, McLemore and Dye are just staggering. Some of the expanded numbers help a bit.

A's SPLITS vs RIGHT-HANDED PITCHING

GABRCRC27BB/PABB/KIsoP SecAP/PAXBHTPA AB/HR
E. Durazo 114 288 65.2 8.93 .101 .700 .240 .351 3.7 37 326 18.0
S. Hatteberg 121 300 59.1 7.19 .142 2.68 .173 .343 4.1 30 358 27.3
Eric Chavez 94 220 45.5 6.86 .184 1.39 .300 .541 4.0 30 272 12.2
Mark Kotsay 115 358 57.7 6.01 .076 .730 .140 .232 3.6 33 393 44.8
Damian Miller 89 221 31.2 4.92 .086 .430 .163 .258 3.7 22 245 31.6
Adam Melhuse 49 148 20.6 4.88 .063 .300 .203 .264 3.6 16 159 21.1
Eric Byrnes 108 323 44.6 4.76 .053 .270 .173 .254 3.9 31 356 26.9
Bobby Crosby 119 321 44.8 4.73 .078 .320 .174 .271 4.1 34 361 29.2
Mark McLemore 60 179 23.0 4.53 .126 1.18 .067 .201 3.7 10 207 179.0
Jermaine Dye 119 332 41.4 4.29 .053 .200 .193 .247 4.2 34 357 23.7
Marco Scutaro 104 272 25.6 3.39 .018 .130 .074 .092 3.6 18 279 272.0
B. McMillon 37 58 5.90 3.24 .106 .780 .155 .259 4.1 5 66 29.0
Bobby Kielty 67 116 9.00 2.4 .143 .670 .069 .250 4.1 5 140 116.0


So, let's get down to business. How shold the A's stack their batting order against right-handed starters? If cloning Erubiel Durazo, Eric Chavez and Scott Hatteberg is not an option...or, if it is...

Let's end the Jermaine Dye batting clean-up argument once and for all - bat Eric Chavez in the clean-up spot against right-handed starters.

End of argument.

Oh, and the injury. That adds to the argument.

RANKINGS vs HANDED PITCHING

OBPOPSP/PA IsoPBABRTOTAL
Mark Kotsay 5 4 11 10 3 B 33
Jermaine Dye 10 9 1 4 11 B 35
Eric Byrnes 8 8 7 6 9 A 38
Bobby Crosby 7 7 4 5 8 A 31
S. Hatteberg 2 3 2 7 2 B 16
E. Durazo 1 1 8 2 1 B 13
Marco Scutaro 12 12 13 11 5 A 53
Damian Miller 6 6 10 8 4 C 34
Eric Chavez 3 2 6 1 10 A 22
Mark McLemore 4 10 12 13 7 C 46
Adam Melhuse 9 5 11 3 6 C 34
Bobby Kielty 11 13 5 12 13 B 54


1 Kotsay CF
2 Hatteberg 1B
3 Durazo DH
4 Chavez 3B
5 Miller CF
6 Crosby SS
7 Dye RF
8 Byrnes LF
9 McLemore 2B


    Therefore, use these assessments for comparison, to find out what the conditions are. That is to say, which political leadership has the way? Which general has ability? Who has the better climate and terrain? Whose discipline is effective? Whose troops are the stronger? Whose officers and soldiers are the better trained? Whose system of rewards and punishments is clearer? This is how you can know who will win.
    The Art of War


The MLB.com Tampa Bay version of Sunday's events. Hilarity:
    And designated hitter B.J. Upton, a 20-year-old rookie, was ejected from the game in the fifth inning for arguing a strike call by home plate umpire Jim Reynolds.


    Upton said it was the first time he had been tossed from a game since earlier this season with Double-A Montgomery.

Really, first time since earlier this season? Isn't that similar to, 'all both of them' or 'the exact same, but different' or 'he literally (not figuratively) chewed my head off'.

This is just chock full or ridiculousness.
    Jermaine Dye, the team's biggest power threat from the right-hand side of the plate, had to leave the game in the fourth inning because of his chronically sore left thumb.

Eric Byrnes is the teams biggest threat from the right side of the plate and Bobby Crosby's numbers are just a little off of Dye's.

But, wait, there's more.
    Judging by the numbers, McMillon was the unlikeliest of heroes. He began the day hitting just .200.

Yes, because Batting Average is such an accurate assessment tool when judging a player who has 68 At Bats in 38 games and spent a considerable amount of time on the bench or the Disabled List.

Don't these MLB.com writers have to take a sanity or relevancy test or at least know something about the team they are covering?

Susan Slusser leads the Chronicle coverage.

The crap that the A's are shoveling about Mark Mulder's 'rhythm' and 'too much movement with his hands' just doesn't work. You don't lose 6-7 miles per hour off of your fastball due to rhythm or jazz hands. Mulder was not driving off the mound and his arm was lagging behind. He may or may not be hurting. But by the way he was flinging the ball around yesterday he's either got some issues or he is playing things close to the vest with September on the horizon.

Think about how many time Mulder got groundballs when he needed them? How many of the hits the Devil Rays got were groundballs that got through the infield?

The walk total for Mulder this year is just astounding for a guy who is allergic to getting a 3-anything count. Is he just working things out as he goes or is there a method to this madness?



Scott Carter has a short but very good description of what he read about the game. Apparently the only runs the A's got were on the Billy McMillon homerun.

Who hires these people? Who edits their work and slashes it to the bone?

Space must have been expensive this week as nobody seems to want to write more than a hundred and a half words on the game Sunday.

Anytime a sports writer uses 'Thus', head attention forthwith.

It seemed Mulder wanted to get out of town. Michigan is home, so he may have just wanted an early start to see his family prior to rejoining the team in Chi-cag-O.

Tampa Bay 6 - Oakland 9

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E
TAMPA BAY 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 26 12 2
OAKLAND 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 9 12 0


Tampa Bay AB R H RBI BB K LOB
Oakland AB R H RBI BB K LOB
J. Lugo ss 4 0 2 1 1 1 1
E. Byrnes cf 3 3 2 0 2 0 0
B.J. Upton dh 3 0 0 0 0 2 2
B. Kielty lf-rf 3 1 1 1 1 1 3
T. Martinez ph-dh 2 0 0 0 0 0 1
E. Chavez 3b 4 2 2 3 1 0 2
A. Huff 1b 4 1 3 1 1 0 0
J. Dye rf 2 0 0 0 0 2 1
J. Cruz rf 5 1 1 1 0 2 3
B. McMillon ph-lf 3 1 1 3 0 0 0
J. Cantu 3b 5 1 3 0 0 1 0
S. Hatteberg 1b 4 0 2 0 0 1 1
G. Blum lf 0 2 0 0 4 0 0
E. Durazo dh 4 0 1 0 0 1 1
T. Hall c 3 0 1 0 0 0 3
D. Miller c 4 0 0 0 0 0 3
C. Crawford ph-cf 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
B. Crosby ss 4 1 1 0 0 1
R. Sanchez 2b 3 0 1 2 1 0 2
M. Scutaro 2b 4 1 2 1 0 0 0
D. Rolls cf 4 1 1 1 0 0 5
Totals 35 9 12 8 4 6 11
B. Fordyce c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Totals 34 6 12 6 7 6 17

Batting





Batting
2B - J Cantu (12, M Mulder);





2B - M Scutaro (28, S Kazmir); E Chavez (17, T Harper).
D Rolls (4, M Mulder); T Hall (15, M Mulder).





HR - B Mcmillon (2, 9th inning off D Baez 2 on, 1 Out).
HR - A Huff (23, 9th inning off O Dotel 0 on, 2 Out),





S - B Kielty.
J Cruz (19, 9th inning off O Dotel 0 on, 2 Out).





RBI - B Kielty (25), E Chavez 3 (63),
RBI - R Sanchez 2 (25), D Rolls (7),





M Scutaro (37), B McMillon 3 (8).
J Lugo (64), A Huff (83), J Cruz (63).





Runners left in scoring position, 2 out -
2-out RBI - D Rolls, J Lugo, A Huff, J Cruz.





D Miller 2, S Hatteberg 1.
Runners left in scoring position, 2 out - D Rolls 2.





GIDP - E Chavez.
GIDP - T Hall, J Lugo, D Rolls, T Martinez.





Team LOB - 6
Team LOB - 8.





Base Running
Fielding





SB - E Byrnes (12, 2nd base off S Kazmir/T Hall).
E - G Blum (6, bobble); S Kazmir (1, throw).





Fielding
PB - T Hall.





DP - 5 (S Hatteberg, B Crosby-M Scutaro-S Hatteberg 3,
DP - 1 (T Miller-J Lugo-A Huff).





M Scutaro-S Hatteberg).









Tampa BayIPHRERBBKHR
S. Kazmir 3 9 6 5 1 2 0
T. Harper 2.1 2 0 0 1 1 0
T. Miller 1.2 0 0 0 0 2 0
D. Baez (L, 3-3) 1.1 1 3 3 2 1 1
















OaklandIPH RERBBKHR
M. Mulder 6 7 4 4 6 3 0
C. Hammond 0.2 2 0 0 0 0 0
J. Mecir 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 0
C. Bradford 0 1 0 0 1 0 0
R. Rincon 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
O. Dotel (W, 4-5) 1 2 2 2 0 2 2

WP - S Kazmir.
IBB - E Chavez (by D Baez).
Pitches-strikes - S Kazmir 71-48; T Harper 56-38; T Miller 16-12; D Baez 31-14; M Mulder 104-59; C Hammond 15-9; J Mecir 4-3; C Bradford 8-3; R Rincon 8-6; O Dotel 20-12.
Ground balls-fly balls - S Kazmir 5-2; T Harper 3-3; T Miller 3-0; D Baez 2-1; M Mulder 9-5; C Hammond 2-0; J Mecir 0-0; C Bradford 0-0; R Rincon 2-1; O Dotel 0-1.
Batters faced - S Kazmir 19; T Harper 10; T Miller 4; D Baez 7; M Mulder 27; C Hammond 3; J Mecir 1; C Bradford 2; R Rincon 3; O Dotel 5.
Game Details
Umpires: HP--Jim Reynolds. 1B--Andy Fletcher. 2B--Tim Welke. 3B--Gary Cederstrom.
Ejections: TAMPA BAY's Upton by Reynolds (5th).
Time: 3:12.
Attendance: 30,538.
Weather: 75 degrees, sunny.
Wind: 13 mph, in from left

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Sunday, August 29, 2004
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BORED to 96 TEARS



Let's start this post by saying that most of the email received in the last two weeks has been responded to in due time. Most of it stating that Elephants in Oakland is "too negative" and "bitches too much" about the A's.

Yes, thank you. And how.

Most of you received a response from EIOS that directly refuted your claims and pointed out that, "if you think this is negative - go read what was written about Terrence Long" or "where have you been for the last two years?"...

How soon we forget.

There is no need to point out that a lot of the email seems to be surfacing as if directed by a single source. Conspiracy theories only need an acknowledgment to fester and by then energy is lost searching for truth (that capital 'T' Truth has been found and it's in a college philosophy course). So, girlfriend, let us not 'go there'.

Shall we not.?

We shant.

Then best not.

Proceed?

We shall.

Yes.

Quite.

Indeed.

So, let's get down to business with some more "bitching" and "moaning" about the A's, specifically that of the push for post season awards.

CYRUS DEWEY AWARD


For the last two years there has been a constant dogmatic rant at this blog: awards only drive up the cost of retaining players. If Jason Giambi had won a second MVP (and he very well should have instead of Ichiro - and Terrence Long absolutely should have won the Rookie of the Year the smae year only if to show how staggeringly bad of a player he became) the A's would not even have been given driving directions to the ballpark figure Giambi's agent would have been asking for in free agent dolla$s. Miguel Tejada, too, by winning the MVP, had an icon on his mantle to push for his free agency courtship. Barry Zito by winning the Cy Young ensured himself of employment late in his career by simply having a GM bemoaning "he's a Cy Young winner".

On Friday, there was a complimentary copy of the Oakland Tribune in the Plaza Suite we occupied (hey, we know people). We don't link to the Oak-Tri very often for the simple fact that their website is two to three days behind at times. Currently, the wrap up for Friday night adorns the breaking A's update. Friday's edition did include a fluff piece on Mark Kotsay's defensive prowess. No kidding. We knew that. But, the article is a purpose piece set to start the campaigning for Kotsay's Gold Glove. It didn't help that Kotsay went and missed two balls on Friday night and another on Saturday by diving for balls in the outfield. Kotsay might be pressing too hard now to justify the hype (which is not 'hype' - he is THAT good). Kotsay, as with all outfielders, not named Eric Byrnes know that you increase your chances of getting to a ball in the air by NOT leaving your feet. This is a truism that is being alerted to all young men and women going through two-a-day football practices. Usually, the pot-bellied coach - who looks like the last thing he caught was a half-dozen Krispy Kreme donuts, will surmise a phrase such as

"look at all 'em sprint'rs in them O'Lipics; how many you seen diving across the finish line?"

As crude as the statement might evolve, it is, for the most part, a relative fact.

In football, there might be instances where a player on defense (or offense) makes the dive or jump a necessity. However, a dive or leap in baseball, particularly in the outfield, is a desperate measure to make up for taking a bad line toward the ball, getting a poor jump or really not having a chance to catch the ball at all. Of course, if there is a polyurethane covered wall in the way - leap, boy, leap!

It is a matter of training over instinct. A player is trained over the years to NOT leave his feet during practice and drills. When push comes to shove, though, it is hard to turn that corner where training becomes second nature and instinct takes a back seat.

Watching the replays of Kotsay's efforts Friday and Saturday night it appears that at least two of the balls could have been caught if Kotsay kept his feet and one could not have been caught no matter what Kotsay did. Which is a very odd sight to see Kotsay dive for a ball. Suddenly, Friday, there he is; not once but twice getting dirty for balls.

Odd. Is this Gold Glove Rush Fever?

Jermaine Dye, too has been able to swing the banter of "gold glover" around as he won the award in 2000 - and thinks he should have won the award in 1999 and All-Star. But, Kaiser 'Bud' Selig has taken a lot of the shine off the banner of All-Star and added some tarnish, to boot.

The push for Jermaine Dye's newer gold glove for 2004 started earlier this year when Dye was approaching the Oakland A's record for consecutive games without an error. The cause celebre was begun by Ray Fosse of A's TV Broadcasts and homerist shrine. This is a rather meaningless 'record'. Errorless chances would mean more than games, particularly if a player was an infrequent outfielder or even a defensive replacement in the outfield. But, there is a subtle reason to push such a 'record'.

Dye is not a bad outfielder, he is just not the outfielder he was in Kansas City or in Atlanta and much of that has to due with the limitations of the injuries he has suffered over the years. Not technique. Save Friday night when Dye dropped a routine flyball in rightfield with one out and a runner on second base in a two run ball game. Dye was getting his body in position to throw to third base if Geoff Blum had tagged up and gone to third and took his eye off the ball for a split second. CLUNK. Hey, we could blame Arthur Rhodes, but that just wouldn't be fair.

Why would the A's broadcast team have Fosse pushing a rather trite accomplishment? It's something to add on a 'resume'. With Dye headed for free agency in the off-season the A's are going to have to hustle to get two A compensation draft picks for Jermaine Dye. The more added to the 'resume' the more the A's could dress up the limited numbers Dye has put up over the last three years.

The draft compensation process is sometimes convoluted as are the arbitration and free agency rules. To the best of our knowledge the compensation for a player lost to another team via free agency is dependant on the cumulative previous three seasons prior to filing for free agency. With two injury plagued seasons and basically two good months for the 2004 season; it does not make the A's compensation outlook very bright for the 2005 draft. At best, based on Dye's statistics the A's could hope for a single B pick (second round compensation pick).

Too harsh?

Well, when it happens, don't come bitching at us.

The point is, adding little things like Player A led the team in 9th inning doubles in the month of August adds to a 'resume'.

Does Kotsay deserve a Gold Glove?

Does Dye?

Who the hell cares? The post season awards are as meaningful to a team winning baseball games in August and September as the bumper plate for a 1978 Dodge hatchback. Though, that bumper plate might be useful against right-handers in short relief down the stretch or off the bench as a pinch-runner...

All of this dialog about MVP candidates, too, needs to be flushed like fresh Astroturf wounds. Let the talking heads on TV and sports writers worry about stuff like that. The only way players or managers can have any affect on the post season awards is by their performance. So why don't we all just shut up, watch the games, write some silly comments and let the players concentrate on winning games instead of individual achievement. You've seen what happens when you go it alone.

BUILDING A BETTER LINEUP


WAIT, THERE ARE NUMBERS?

GBAOBPSLGOPSABRH2B3BHRTBRBIBBSO
Eric Byrnes 58 .355 .409 .621 1.030 124 28 44 10 1 7 77 22 12 17
Eric Chavez 71 .326 .426 .558 .984 138 23 45 5 0 9 77 22 22 33
Marco Scutaro 56 .292 .341 .513 .855 113 16 33 10 0 5 58 16 9 12
Jermaine Dye 69 .281 .380 .468 .848 139 23 39 4 2 6 65 24 23 23
Erubiel Durazo 66 .295 .346 .475 .821 122 12 36 7 0 5 58 27 7 38
Bobby Kielty 47 .243 .328 .476 .803 103 17 25 9 0 5 49 14 13 15
Mark Kotsay 66 .297 .366 .432 .798 118 20 35 2 1 4 51 18 13 11
Damian Miller 49 .308 .374 .423 .797 104 13 32 6 0 2 44 11 10 20
Scott Hatteberg 70 .295 .357 .403 .760 129 17 38 5 0 3 52 19 9 15
Bobby Crosby 63 .200 .313 .418 .731 110 21 22 4 1 6 46 10 18 22
Adam Melhuse 18 .158 .333 .316 .649 19 5 3 0 0 1 6 5 5 8
Mark McLemore 18 .105 .292 .105 .397 19 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 5 2

GBAOBPSLGOPSABRH2B3BHRTBRBIBBSO
A's 103 .278 .356 .457 .813 1329 205 369 64 5 55 608 197 154 231


Let's be a little realistic. Above are the splits for the Oakland A's hitters in 2004 against left-handers.

Let's write the line-up and batting order according to a few factors for the A's when facing a left-handed starting pitcher:
  • On Base Percentage: this is rather a no brainer as you want players who get on base as much as possible and limit the number of outs they create.


  • On Base Plus Slugging: the players who post higher OPS number are hitter you want in the meaty part of the batting order, 2-3-4-5.


  • Pitches Per Plate Appearance: A crucial statistic that is neglected by a great many baseball fan since it is hard to find the data (it's not on the back of a baseball card) and relate.


  • Isolated Power: a not so complicated statistic, but easy to relate to if you just remember that Isolated Power = Slugging Percentage - Batting Average (base hits that were not singles).


  • Batting Average: The overrated and misunderstood statistic, but still valuable tool if used correctly.


  • Base Running Ability: Cannot be judged accurately by current available statistic formulas and relatively useless as the A's don't rack up steals so secondary average is moot, too (and stolen bases are a poor reflection of true base running ability or speed) - this will be a judgment call.

    NOTE: We could devise a formula based on runs scored and On Base Percentage based on league averages and slugging percentage of hitters behind the batter...but then, there is sanity to consider.

RANKINGS VS LEFT-HANDED PITCHING

OBP PPA ISO BA BR TOTAL
Byrnes 2 12 1 1 A 16
Chavez 1 4 3 2 A 10
Crosby 11 3 5 10 A 29
Durazo 7 8 7 6 B 28
Dye 3 2 6 8 B 19
Hatteberg 6 10 11 4 B 31
Kielty 9 5 2 9 B 25
Kotsay 5 11 9 5 B 30
McLemore 12 7 12 12 C 43
Melhuse 10 1 8 11 C 30
Miller 4 9 10 3 C 26
Scutaro 8 6 4 7 A 25


Well, based on those gross totals, you can tell who should not be in the line-up against left-handed starters. Namely Mark McLemore and Adam Melhuse. Which is fine, since they can be in a platoon. Scott Hatteberg's numbers suggest he should be dropped in the batting order if he must be in the line up. Mark Kotsay and Bobby Crosby might be considered candidates for a day off, too when a left-hander comes around...but, wait a minute. Shouldn't these rankings be weighted? How much more important is On Base Percentage to Batting Average and how much more important is working the count (PPA) to Isolated Power?

Hmm.

And are these statistics just for 2004? Should we look at career numbers or just numbers over the last three years? What about Crosby and Skootch, are their rookie numbers really enough to make such decisions on numbers?

Uhm.

And who cares about base running ability - who can go from first to third on a base hit or who can score from second on a base hit? If they get a decent lead and run hard any player should be able to avoid being nailed (that would be the old wisdom - new knowledge suggests players hug the next base and NEVER stray lest the base paths open up swallow the runner hole into a pit of despair never to be seen or heard form again, sort of like Gil Gerard or Shelly Long).

Without an extensive database with statistics to refer to or decent coffee, let's just stick with some relative numbers; On-Base Percentage and Slugging Percentage and refer only to the other numbers if we hit a problem.
1 Byrnes CF
2 Kielty 2B
3 Chavez 3B
4 Dye RF
5 Miller LF
6 Scutaro CF
7 Durazo DH
8 Hatteberg 1B
9 Crosby SS


From the looks of things, the A's don't necessarily need a right-handed hitting threat to compensate for left-handed pitching. They have that in Eric Byrnes and Jermaine Dye and (eek!) Skootch. What they do need is a 1st Base/DH type that can hit left-handers...and don't say Eric Karros.

Honestly, if Bobby Crosby's numbers improve, which they should, the A's should be okay in the last six months of the season, oops six weeks. There are no vast, lurking crafty left-handers to spoil their run. Oh, except Kenny Rogers in Texas and Ted Lilly in Toronto and C.C. Sabathia and Cliff Lee in Cleveland and Jamie Moyer in Seattle...and Scott Kazmir in today’s' game. The A's will most likely face all of these pitchers and possibly Rogers and Moyer twice down the stretch. Luckily for the A's Jarrod Washburn of the Angels is still on the Disabled List.

Otherwise the A's have six and possibly seven games against very tough left-handed starters were the offense will have to get the A's pitchers at least 4 runs to have a chance of winning. Anything less than 4 runs a game and the A's facing a left-handed starter the odds become very slim the A's can manage a win.

Looking at the other top teams in the American League; Minnesota has Johan Santana. Hey, there really is a shortage of quality left-handed pitching in the major leagues! The problem for the A's is some of the top left-handed starting pitching stands between them and another American League West title. Good thing the A's have Mark Mulder, Barry Zito and Mark Redman on their staff, otherwise we'd start to worry.

Maybe Jeff Kent wasn't such a bad idea. Kent could play 2nd, Skootch could move to shortstop. Or Kent could play first base.

Of course, if you have $1.8 million the A's would have to spend to lease Kent for the rest of the year contact Steve Schott and Ken Hoffman at (510)638-4900. Call them collect.


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Saturday, August 28, 2004
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FIREWORKS



It looks like Mark Kotsay will start in center tonight and resume his usual place in the leadoff spot. Keep an eye out for any extraneous grimacing or movement in regard to his right shoulder. Skootch is on the bench and Mark McLemore will be playing 2nd base and batting in the two hole (we don't know why - the numbers just don't match up).

There might be some extra curricular activity tonight with Dewon Brazleton starting. Brazleton hit Erubiel Durazo with a pitch Sunday that started some odd reaction from the pitcher and Tampa Bay. Will there be any pitches above the neck tonight? Probably not.

Justin Duchscherer nailed Toby Hall last night in the top of the 5th. Hall is a catcher. There were two outs. Duchscherer had smacked down the Devil Rays after Mark Redman did his best Mark Redman impression at the Coliseum. It was a safe time to hit a batter with the 9th place hitter coming up after Hall...though, Geoff Blum didn't act like a No. 9 hitter last night (3 for 5, 3 RBI, two runs a 3 Run HR and a double).

You don't think Duchscherer was hitting Hall intentionally?

The A's exploded for four more runs in the bottom half of the inning.

Maybe it was just poetic justice, then.


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IT SHOULDN'T BE THIS EXCITING



A few quick notes before the rundown and such;
    Mark Kotsay looking like he was working his right shoulder and fidgeting last night after diving for two low liners in center. More so after the second sprawl in the 6th off the base hit by Aubrey Huff. It looked like he rolled over his right shoulder with his arm under him. A little awkward, but not too awkward. He still went up hacking during his at-bat in the bottom of the 8th and he didn't seem too concerned with it. But it is something to note since he does have a history with his back (who doesn't have a history with their back?). With a night game Saturday he may or may not start. Call it 6-4 and pick 'em.

    Lou Pinella set the American League record (again) for slowest stroll back to the dugout after arguing a call with an umpire in the 6th. A 34 step walk turns into a 3 and a half minute amble for Lou and he never seems to take a straight line back to the dugout.

    Marco Scutaro did a little extra flexing of his knee after snaring a ground ball in the 9th. He was most likely going to be out of the lineup on Saturday with a right-handed pitcher starting, anyway.

More…


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Friday, August 27, 2004
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SPF 400



The UV rating for yesterday's game was 8. Very HIGH.

Pfft.

Wasn't that high. The sunburn is only kind of purple, but mostly red.

The final game of the season series with the Orioles was fraught with delectable tidbits to mentally munch on over the weekend:
  • The A's swept the season series with the Orioles 7-0.

  • Miguel Tejada was held in check, though he denies he was pressing too hard to perform well.

  • A's starters got the win in 6 of the 7 games.

  • A's hit 12 homeruns in the seven games; 4 by Erubiel Durazo, 2 by Jermaine Dye and 2 by Eric Chavez.

  • The A's outscored the Orioles 41-14.

  • Bobby Crosby went hitless the entire season series (but walked five times).

A disturbing note for those of you who come to the ballpark early; yesterday's pregame PA music included a selection that might cause harm and irreparable damage. Paula Abdul - Straight Up, Taylor Dayne - Don't Rush Me, Bobby Brown - My Prerogative, Billy Ocean - Get Outta My Dreams (and Into My Car)...the horror....the horror...
Can you hear me all the way back in 1989?


THE SERIES AT A GLANCE - HITTING



GABRH2B3BHRRBITBBBSO
BYRNES7 32 4 9 1 0 1 5 13 0 4
DURAZO 7 27 5 12 2 0 4 11 26 3 6
DYE 7 26 6 4 0 0 2 7 10 4 7
HATTEBERG 7 26 7 11 3 0 1 8 17 5 3
CHAVEZ 6 25 6 9 2 0 2 2 17 4 7
KOTSAY 6 23 4 4 1 0 0 1 5 5 1
SCUTARO 7 23 1 7 0 0 1 3 10 0 3
CROSBY 6 17 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7
MILLER 4 12 1 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 3
MELHUSE 3 10 3 5 1 0 1 3 9 3 2
MCLEMORE 4 14 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 2
KIELTY 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MCMILLON 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0













OBPSLGAVGOPSTPANPPPAXBHG0AOGO/AO
BYRNES.281.406.281.68732963.002613.540
DURAZO.500.963.4441.463301304.34636.500
DYE.267.385.154.652301224.072771.14
HATTEBERG.516.654.4231.170311163.7424661.00
CHAVEZ.448.680.3601.128291063.66427.290
KOTSAY.321.217.174.538281023.641711.640
SCUTARO.304.435.304.73923793.44149.560
CROSBY.261.000.000.261241144.750 4 7 .710
MILLER.500.333.333.83316603.750321.50
MELHUSE.615.900.5001.51513564.3082 1 2 .500
MCLEMORE.266.214.214.48016664.1250732.33
KIELTY.000.000 .000 .0005 132.60 3 2 1.50
MCMILLON1.000.000.0001.0001 5 5.00 0 0 0000

THE SERIES AT A GLANCE - PITCHING