Tuesday, August 31, 2004
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| Central | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Iowa | 74 | 62 | .544 | --- | 37-32 | 37-30 | 9-Jan | Lost 5 |
| Colorado Springs | 73 | 63 | .537 | 1 | 37-30 | 36-33 | 8-2 | Lost 1 |
| Omaha | 68 | 69 | .496 | 6 1/2 | 37-32 | 31-37 | 8-2 | Won 5 |
| Albuquerque | 63 | 74 | .460 | 11 1/2 | 34-34 | 29-40 | 2-9 | Lost 7 |
| Eastern | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Oklahoma | 79 | 58 | .577 | --- | 40-29 | 39-29 | 7-3 | Won 1 |
| Memphis | 70 | 67 | .511 | 9 | 38-30 | 32-37 | 5-5 | Won 2 |
| New Orleans | 63 | 74 | .460 | 16 | 36-33 | 27-41 | 6-4 | Won 3 |
| Nashville | 60 | 75 | .444 | 18 | 34-37 | 26-38 | 3-7 | Lost 3 |
| Northern | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Portland | 79 | 58 | .577 | --- | 44-24 | 35-34 | 7-3 | Won 5 |
| Tacoma | 74 | 60 | .552 | 3 1/2 | 37-26 | 37-34 | 3-7 | Lost 5 |
| Edmonton | 66 | 71 | .482 | 13 | 39-26 | 27-45 | 4-6 | Lost 2 |
| Salt Lake | 54 | 83 | .394 | 25 | 31-38 | 23-45 | 6-4 | Won 2 |
| Southern | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Sacramento | 76 | 61 | .555 | --- | 43-29 | 33-32 | 5-5 | Won 1 |
| Tucson | 70 | 66 | .515 | 5 1/2 | 42-30 | 28-36 | 7-3 | Lost 1 |
| Las Vegas | 63 | 74 | .460 | 13 | 35-33 | 28-41 | 6-4 | Won 1 |
| Fresno | 60 | 77 | .438 | 16 | 29-36 | 31-41 | 3-7 | Lost 1 |
| East | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Frisco | 40 | 24 | .625 | --- | 22-11 | 18-13 | 8-2 | Won 3 |
| Wichita | 33 | 31 | .516 | 7 | 17-10 | 16-21 | 3-7 | Lost 3 |
| Tulsa | 30 | 34 | .469 | 10 | 17-15 | 13-19 | 2-8 | Lost 2 |
| Arkansas | 25 | 39 | .391 | 15 | 15-20 | 10-19 | 4-6 | Won 1 |
| West | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Round Rock | 37 | 27 | .578 | --- | 24-12 | 13-15 | 8-2 | Won 2 |
| San Antonio | 34 | 28 | .548 | 2 | 20-13 | 14-15 | 7-3 | Won 3 |
| MIDLAND | 32 | 32 | .500 | 5 | 18-14 | 14-18 | 5-5 | Lost 1 |
| El Paso | 23 | 39 | .371 | 13 | 11-15 | 12-24 | 3-7 | Lost 3 |
| North | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Modesto | 43 | 20 | 0.683 | --- | 21-7 | 22-13 | 1-Sep | Won 6 |
| Stockton | 35 | 28 | 0.556 | 8 | 16-13 | 19-15 | 6-Apr | Lost 5 |
| San Jose | 31 | 32 | 0.492 | 12 | 17-13 | 14-19 | 6-Apr | Won 1 |
| Bakersfield | 27 | 36 | 0.429 | 16 | 13-17 | 14-19 | 5-May | Lost 2 |
| Visalia | 19 | 44 | 0.302 | 24 | 25-Aug | 19-Nov | 6-Apr | Lost 1 |
| South | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Lancaster | 39 | 24 | 0.619 | --- | 19-10 | 20-14 | 4-Jun | Lost 1 |
| Inland Empire | 35 | 28 | 0.556 | 4 | 18-11 | 17-17 | 6-Apr | Won 1 |
| Lake Elsinore | 33 | 30 | 0.524 | 6 | 19-17 | 14-13 | 2-Aug | Won 5 |
| Rancho Cucamonga | 32 | 31 | 0.508 | 7 | 18-19 | 14-12 | 6-Apr | Lost 2 |
| High Desert | 21 | 42 | 0.333 | 18 | 26-Aug | 13-16 | 8-Feb | Lost 5 |
| Eastern | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| West Michigan | 37 | 26 | 0.587 | --- | 19-14 | 18-12 | 8-2 | Lost 1 |
| Lansing | 35 | 28 | 0.556 | 2 | 17-18 | 18-10 | 5-5 | Won 1 |
| Battle Creek | 34 | 29 | 0.54 | 3 | 14-18 | 20-11 | 5-5 | Won 1 |
| Fort Wayne | 33 | 30 | 0.524 | 4 | 20-11 | 13-19 | 4-Jun | Won 3 |
| South Bend | 31 | 32 | 0.492 | 6 | 14-17 | 17-15 | 5-5 | Won 2 |
| Dayton | 18 | 45 | 0.286 | 19 | 8-24 | 10-21 | 2-8 | Lost 3 |
| Western | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Kane County | 37 | 26 | 0.587 | --- | 19-12 | 18-14 | 5-5 | Lost 1 |
| Clinton | 34 | 29 | 0.54 | 3 | 14-18 | 20-11 | 7-3 | Lost 1 |
| Quad Cities | 33 | 30 | 0.524 | 4 | 17-14 | 16-16 | 7-3 | Won 3 |
| Beloit | 32 | 31 | 0.508 | 5 | 13-15 | 19-16 | 5-5 | Lost 3 |
| Burlington-A | 31 | 32 | 0.492 | 6 | 14-17 | 17-15 | 6-4 | Won 3 |
| Peoria | 31 | 32 | 0.492 | 6 | 16-16 | 15-16 | 3-7 | Lost 3 |
| Cedar Rapids | 29 | 34 | 0.46 | 8 | 11-20 | 18-14 | 3-7 | Lost 4 |
| Wisconsin | 26 | 37 | 0.413 | 11 | 15-16 | 11-21 | 8-Feb | Won 1 |
| East | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Boise | 40 | 30 | 0.571 | --- | 17-15 | 23-15 | 8-2 | Lost 1 |
| Tri City | 38 | 32 | 0.543 | 2 | 22-16 | 16-16 | 7-3 | Won 1 |
| Spokane | 36 | 34 | 0.514 | 4 | 20-15 | 16-19 | 5-5 | Won 2 |
| Yakima | 32 | 38 | 0.457 | 8 | 16-19 | 16-19 | 3-7 | Lost 2 |
| West | W | L | PCT | GB | HOME | AWAY | L 10 | STREAK |
| Vancouver | 39 | 30 | 0.565 | --- | 24-11 | 15-19 | 7-3 | Won 1 |
| Everett | 38 | 32 | 0.543 | 1 1/2 | 19-16 | 19-16 | 3-7 | Lost 1 |
| Salem Keizer | 34 | 36 | 0.486 | 5 1/2 | 20-15 | 14-21 | 4-6 | Lost 2 |
| Eugene | 22 | 47 | 0.319 | 17 | 13-21 | 9-26 | 3-7 | Won 2 |
| Batters | BA | SLG | G | AB | R | H | TB | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | CS | E |
| Herrera | .343 | .573 | 58 | 239 | 44 | 82 | 137 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 19 | 49 | 21 | 1 | 4 |
A's SPLITS vs RIGHT-HANDED PITCHING BA OBP SLG OPS G AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO Mark Kotsay .304 .357 .444 .801 115 358 42 109 24 1 8 159 36 30 41 Jermaine Dye .253 .300 .446 .746 118 332 57 84 18 2 14 148 47 19 95 Eric Byrnes .264 .319 .438 .757 107 322 45 85 18 1 12 141 44 18 71 Bobby Crosby .266 .334 .442 .776 118 319 36 85 23 0 11 141 39 28 87 Scott Hatteberg .308 .402 .482 .883 120 299 58 92 19 0 11 144 56 51 19 Erubiel Durazo .341 .415 .582 .997 113 287 56 98 21 0 16 167 49 33 47 Marco Scutaro .274 .287 .348 .635 103 270 26 74 17 0 1 94 20 5 38 Damian Miller .283 .347 .447 .795 88 219 22 62 15 0 7 98 39 21 49 Eric Chavez .251 .385 .548 .933 93 219 46 55 11 0 18 120 38 49 36 Mark McLemore .268 .364 .335 .699 60 179 21 48 9 0 1 60 13 26 22 Adam Melhuse .270 .316 .473 .789 49 148 13 40 9 0 7 70 19 10 33 Bobby Kielty .165 .292 .235 .527 66 115 10 19 3 1 1 27 10 19 29 Billy McMillon .196 .281 .304 .585 36 56 7 11 3 0 1 17 5 7 9
A few things come to mind when reviewing these numbers...why the hell can't the A's produce against right-handed pitching? Some of the numbers put up by Skootch, McLemore and Dye are just staggering. Some of the expanded numbers help a bit.
A's SPLITS vs RIGHT-HANDED PITCHING G AB RC RC27 BB/PA BB/K IsoP SecA P/PA XBH TPA AB/HR E. Durazo 114 288 65.2 8.93 .101 .700 .240 .351 3.7 37 326 18.0 S. Hatteberg 121 300 59.1 7.19 .142 2.68 .173 .343 4.1 30 358 27.3 Eric Chavez 94 220 45.5 6.86 .184 1.39 .300 .541 4.0 30 272 12.2 Mark Kotsay 115 358 57.7 6.01 .076 .730 .140 .232 3.6 33 393 44.8 Damian Miller 89 221 31.2 4.92 .086 .430 .163 .258 3.7 22 245 31.6 Adam Melhuse 49 148 20.6 4.88 .063 .300 .203 .264 3.6 16 159 21.1 Eric Byrnes 108 323 44.6 4.76 .053 .270 .173 .254 3.9 31 356 26.9 Bobby Crosby 119 321 44.8 4.73 .078 .320 .174 .271 4.1 34 361 29.2 Mark McLemore 60 179 23.0 4.53 .126 1.18 .067 .201 3.7 10 207 179.0 Jermaine Dye 119 332 41.4 4.29 .053 .200 .193 .247 4.2 34 357 23.7 Marco Scutaro 104 272 25.6 3.39 .018 .130 .074 .092 3.6 18 279 272.0 B. McMillon 37 58 5.90 3.24 .106 .780 .155 .259 4.1 5 66 29.0 Bobby Kielty 67 116 9.00 2.4 .143 .670 .069 .250 4.1 5 140 116.0
So, let's get down to business. How shold the A's stack their batting order against right-handed starters? If cloning Erubiel Durazo, Eric Chavez and Scott Hatteberg is not an option...or, if it is...
Let's end the Jermaine Dye batting clean-up argument once and for all - bat Eric Chavez in the clean-up spot against right-handed starters.
End of argument.
Oh, and the injury. That adds to the argument.
RANKINGS vs HANDED PITCHING OBP OPS P/PA IsoP BA BR TOTAL Mark Kotsay 5 4 11 10 3 B 33 Jermaine Dye 10 9 1 4 11 B 35 Eric Byrnes 8 8 7 6 9 A 38 Bobby Crosby 7 7 4 5 8 A 31 S. Hatteberg 2 3 2 7 2 B 16 E. Durazo 1 1 8 2 1 B 13 Marco Scutaro 12 12 13 11 5 A 53 Damian Miller 6 6 10 8 4 C 34 Eric Chavez 3 2 6 1 10 A 22 Mark McLemore 4 10 12 13 7 C 46 Adam Melhuse 9 5 11 3 6 C 34 Bobby Kielty 11 13 5 12 13 B 54
1 Kotsay CF 2 Hatteberg 1B 3 Durazo DH 4 Chavez 3B 5 Miller CF 6 Crosby SS 7 Dye RF 8 Byrnes LF 9 McLemore 2B Therefore, use these assessments for comparison, to find out what the conditions are. That is to say, which political leadership has the way? Which general has ability? Who has the better climate and terrain? Whose discipline is effective? Whose troops are the stronger? Whose officers and soldiers are the better trained? Whose system of rewards and punishments is clearer? This is how you can know who will win.
The Art of War
The MLB.com Tampa Bay version of Sunday's events. Hilarity:And designated hitter B.J. Upton, a 20-year-old rookie, was ejected from the game in the fifth inning for arguing a strike call by home plate umpire Jim Reynolds.
Upton said it was the first time he had been tossed from a game since earlier this season with Double-A Montgomery.
Really, first time since earlier this season? Isn't that similar to, 'all both of them' or 'the exact same, but different' or 'he literally (not figuratively) chewed my head off'.
This is just chock full or ridiculousness.Jermaine Dye, the team's biggest power threat from the right-hand side of the plate, had to leave the game in the fourth inning because of his chronically sore left thumb.
Eric Byrnes is the teams biggest threat from the right side of the plate and Bobby Crosby's numbers are just a little off of Dye's.
But, wait, there's more.Judging by the numbers, McMillon was the unlikeliest of heroes. He began the day hitting just .200.
Yes, because Batting Average is such an accurate assessment tool when judging a player who has 68 At Bats in 38 games and spent a considerable amount of time on the bench or the Disabled List.
Don't these MLB.com writers have to take a sanity or relevancy test or at least know something about the team they are covering?
Susan Slusser leads the Chronicle coverage.
The crap that the A's are shoveling about Mark Mulder's 'rhythm' and 'too much movement with his hands' just doesn't work. You don't lose 6-7 miles per hour off of your fastball due to rhythm or jazz hands. Mulder was not driving off the mound and his arm was lagging behind. He may or may not be hurting. But by the way he was flinging the ball around yesterday he's either got some issues or he is playing things close to the vest with September on the horizon.
Think about how many time Mulder got groundballs when he needed them? How many of the hits the Devil Rays got were groundballs that got through the infield?
The walk total for Mulder this year is just astounding for a guy who is allergic to getting a 3-anything count. Is he just working things out as he goes or is there a method to this madness?
Scott Carter has a short but very good description of what he read about the game. Apparently the only runs the A's got were on the Billy McMillon homerun.
Who hires these people? Who edits their work and slashes it to the bone?
Space must have been expensive this week as nobody seems to want to write more than a hundred and a half words on the game Sunday.
Anytime a sports writer uses 'Thus', head attention forthwith.
It seemed Mulder wanted to get out of town. Michigan is home, so he may have just wanted an early start to see his family prior to rejoining the team in Chi-cag-O.
Tampa Bay 6 - Oakland 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E TAMPA BAY 0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 6 12 2 OAKLAND 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 9 12 0
Tampa Bay AB R H RBI BB K LOB Oakland AB R H RBI BB K LOB J. Lugo ss 4 0 2 1 1 1 1 E. Byrnes cf 3 3 2 0 2 0 0 B.J. Upton dh 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 B. Kielty lf-rf 3 1 1 1 1 1 3 T. Martinez ph-dh 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 E. Chavez 3b 4 2 2 3 1 0 2 A. Huff 1b 4 1 3 1 1 0 0 J. Dye rf 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 J. Cruz rf 5 1 1 1 0 2 3 B. McMillon ph-lf 3 1 1 3 0 0 0 J. Cantu 3b 5 1 3 0 0 1 0 S. Hatteberg 1b 4 0 2 0 0 1 1 G. Blum lf 0 2 0 0 4 0 0 E. Durazo dh 4 0 1 0 0 1 1 T. Hall c 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 D. Miller c 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 C. Crawford ph-cf 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 B. Crosby ss 4 1 1 0 0 1 R. Sanchez 2b 3 0 1 2 1 0 2 M. Scutaro 2b 4 1 2 1 0 0 0 D. Rolls cf 4 1 1 1 0 0 5 Totals 35 9 12 8 4 6 11 B. Fordyce c 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Totals 34 6 12 6 7 6 17
Batting Batting 2B - J Cantu (12, M Mulder); 2B - M Scutaro (28, S Kazmir); E Chavez (17, T Harper). D Rolls (4, M Mulder); T Hall (15, M Mulder). HR - B Mcmillon (2, 9th inning off D Baez 2 on, 1 Out). HR - A Huff (23, 9th inning off O Dotel 0 on, 2 Out), S - B Kielty. J Cruz (19, 9th inning off O Dotel 0 on, 2 Out). RBI - B Kielty (25), E Chavez 3 (63), RBI - R Sanchez 2 (25), D Rolls (7), M Scutaro (37), B McMillon 3 (8). J Lugo (64), A Huff (83), J Cruz (63). Runners left in scoring position, 2 out - 2-out RBI - D Rolls, J Lugo, A Huff, J Cruz. D Miller 2, S Hatteberg 1. Runners left in scoring position, 2 out - D Rolls 2. GIDP - E Chavez. GIDP - T Hall, J Lugo, D Rolls, T Martinez. Team LOB - 6 Team LOB - 8. Base Running Fielding SB - E Byrnes (12, 2nd base off S Kazmir/T Hall). E - G Blum (6, bobble); S Kazmir (1, throw). Fielding PB - T Hall. DP - 5 (S Hatteberg, B Crosby-M Scutaro-S Hatteberg 3, DP - 1 (T Miller-J Lugo-A Huff). M Scutaro-S Hatteberg).
Tampa Bay IP H R ER BB K HR S. Kazmir 3 9 6 5 1 2 0 T. Harper 2.1 2 0 0 1 1 0 T. Miller 1.2 0 0 0 0 2 0 D. Baez (L, 3-3) 1.1 1 3 3 2 1 1 Oakland IP H R ER BB K HR M. Mulder 6 7 4 4 6 3 0 C. Hammond 0.2 2 0 0 0 0 0 J. Mecir 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 0 C. Bradford 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 R. Rincon 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 O. Dotel (W, 4-5) 1 2 2 2 0 2 2
WP - S Kazmir. IBB - E Chavez (by D Baez). Pitches-strikes - S Kazmir 71-48; T Harper 56-38; T Miller 16-12; D Baez 31-14; M Mulder 104-59; C Hammond 15-9; J Mecir 4-3; C Bradford 8-3; R Rincon 8-6; O Dotel 20-12. Ground balls-fly balls - S Kazmir 5-2; T Harper 3-3; T Miller 3-0; D Baez 2-1; M Mulder 9-5; C Hammond 2-0; J Mecir 0-0; C Bradford 0-0; R Rincon 2-1; O Dotel 0-1. Batters faced - S Kazmir 19; T Harper 10; T Miller 4; D Baez 7; M Mulder 27; C Hammond 3; J Mecir 1; C Bradford 2; R Rincon 3; O Dotel 5. Game Details Umpires: HP--Jim Reynolds. 1B--Andy Fletcher. 2B--Tim Welke. 3B--Gary Cederstrom. Ejections: TAMPA BAY's Upton by Reynolds (5th). Time: 3:12. Attendance: 30,538. Weather: 75 degrees, sunny. Wind: 13 mph, in from left
Let's start this post by saying that most of the email received in the last two weeks has been responded to in due time. Most of it stating that Elephants in Oakland is "too negative" and "bitches too much" about the A's.
Yes, thank you. And how.
Most of you received a response from EIOS that directly refuted your claims and pointed out that, "if you think this is negative - go read what was written about Terrence Long" or "where have you been for the last two years?"...
How soon we forget.
There is no need to point out that a lot of the email seems to be surfacing as if directed by a single source. Conspiracy theories only need an acknowledgment to fester and by then energy is lost searching for truth (that capital 'T' Truth has been found and it's in a college philosophy course). So, girlfriend, let us not 'go there'.
Shall we not.?
We shant.
Then best not.
Proceed?
We shall.
Yes.
Quite.
Indeed.
So, let's get down to business with some more "bitching" and "moaning" about the A's, specifically that of the push for post season awards.CYRUS DEWEY AWARD
For the last two years there has been a constant dogmatic rant at this blog: awards only drive up the cost of retaining players. If Jason Giambi had won a second MVP (and he very well should have instead of Ichiro - and Terrence Long absolutely should have won the Rookie of the Year the smae year only if to show how staggeringly bad of a player he became) the A's would not even have been given driving directions to the ballpark figure Giambi's agent would have been asking for in free agent dolla$s. Miguel Tejada, too, by winning the MVP, had an icon on his mantle to push for his free agency courtship. Barry Zito by winning the Cy Young ensured himself of employment late in his career by simply having a GM bemoaning "he's a Cy Young winner".
On Friday, there was a complimentary copy of the Oakland Tribune in the Plaza Suite we occupied (hey, we know people). We don't link to the Oak-Tri very often for the simple fact that their website is two to three days behind at times. Currently, the wrap up for Friday night adorns the breaking A's update. Friday's edition did include a fluff piece on Mark Kotsay's defensive prowess. No kidding. We knew that. But, the article is a purpose piece set to start the campaigning for Kotsay's Gold Glove. It didn't help that Kotsay went and missed two balls on Friday night and another on Saturday by diving for balls in the outfield. Kotsay might be pressing too hard now to justify the hype (which is not 'hype' - he is THAT good). Kotsay, as with all outfielders, not named Eric Byrnes know that you increase your chances of getting to a ball in the air by NOT leaving your feet. This is a truism that is being alerted to all young men and women going through two-a-day football practices. Usually, the pot-bellied coach - who looks like the last thing he caught was a half-dozen Krispy Kreme donuts, will surmise a phrase such as
"look at all 'em sprint'rs in them O'Lipics; how many you seen diving across the finish line?"
As crude as the statement might evolve, it is, for the most part, a relative fact.
In football, there might be instances where a player on defense (or offense) makes the dive or jump a necessity. However, a dive or leap in baseball, particularly in the outfield, is a desperate measure to make up for taking a bad line toward the ball, getting a poor jump or really not having a chance to catch the ball at all. Of course, if there is a polyurethane covered wall in the way - leap, boy, leap!
It is a matter of training over instinct. A player is trained over the years to NOT leave his feet during practice and drills. When push comes to shove, though, it is hard to turn that corner where training becomes second nature and instinct takes a back seat.
Watching the replays of Kotsay's efforts Friday and Saturday night it appears that at least two of the balls could have been caught if Kotsay kept his feet and one could not have been caught no matter what Kotsay did. Which is a very odd sight to see Kotsay dive for a ball. Suddenly, Friday, there he is; not once but twice getting dirty for balls.
Odd. Is this Gold Glove Rush Fever?
Jermaine Dye, too has been able to swing the banter of "gold glover" around as he won the award in 2000 - and thinks he should have won the award in 1999 and All-Star. But, Kaiser 'Bud' Selig has taken a lot of the shine off the banner of All-Star and added some tarnish, to boot.
The push for Jermaine Dye's newer gold glove for 2004 started earlier this year when Dye was approaching the Oakland A's record for consecutive games without an error. The cause celebre was begun by Ray Fosse of A's TV Broadcasts and homerist shrine. This is a rather meaningless 'record'. Errorless chances would mean more than games, particularly if a player was an infrequent outfielder or even a defensive replacement in the outfield. But, there is a subtle reason to push such a 'record'.
Dye is not a bad outfielder, he is just not the outfielder he was in Kansas City or in Atlanta and much of that has to due with the limitations of the injuries he has suffered over the years. Not technique. Save Friday night when Dye dropped a routine flyball in rightfield with one out and a runner on second base in a two run ball game. Dye was getting his body in position to throw to third base if Geoff Blum had tagged up and gone to third and took his eye off the ball for a split second. CLUNK. Hey, we could blame Arthur Rhodes, but that just wouldn't be fair.
Why would the A's broadcast team have Fosse pushing a rather trite accomplishment? It's something to add on a 'resume'. With Dye headed for free agency in the off-season the A's are going to have to hustle to get two A compensation draft picks for Jermaine Dye. The more added to the 'resume' the more the A's could dress up the limited numbers Dye has put up over the last three years.
The draft compensation process is sometimes convoluted as are the arbitration and free agency rules. To the best of our knowledge the compensation for a player lost to another team via free agency is dependant on the cumulative previous three seasons prior to filing for free agency. With two injury plagued seasons and basically two good months for the 2004 season; it does not make the A's compensation outlook very bright for the 2005 draft. At best, based on Dye's statistics the A's could hope for a single B pick (second round compensation pick).
Too harsh?
Well, when it happens, don't come bitching at us.
The point is, adding little things like Player A led the team in 9th inning doubles in the month of August adds to a 'resume'.
Does Kotsay deserve a Gold Glove?
Does Dye?
Who the hell cares? The post season awards are as meaningful to a team winning baseball games in August and September as the bumper plate for a 1978 Dodge hatchback. Though, that bumper plate might be useful against right-handers in short relief down the stretch or off the bench as a pinch-runner...
All of this dialog about MVP candidates, too, needs to be flushed like fresh Astroturf wounds. Let the talking heads on TV and sports writers worry about stuff like that. The only way players or managers can have any affect on the post season awards is by their performance. So why don't we all just shut up, watch the games, write some silly comments and let the players concentrate on winning games instead of individual achievement. You've seen what happens when you go it alone.
BUILDING A BETTER LINEUP
WAIT, THERE ARE NUMBERS? G BA OBP SLG OPS AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO Eric Byrnes 58 .355 .409 .621 1.030 124 28 44 10 1 7 77 22 12 17 Eric Chavez 71 .326 .426 .558 .984 138 23 45 5 0 9 77 22 22 33 Marco Scutaro 56 .292 .341 .513 .855 113 16 33 10 0 5 58 16 9 12 Jermaine Dye 69 .281 .380 .468 .848 139 23 39 4 2 6 65 24 23 23 Erubiel Durazo 66 .295 .346 .475 .821 122 12 36 7 0 5 58 27 7 38 Bobby Kielty 47 .243 .328 .476 .803 103 17 25 9 0 5 49 14 13 15 Mark Kotsay 66 .297 .366 .432 .798 118 20 35 2 1 4 51 18 13 11 Damian Miller 49 .308 .374 .423 .797 104 13 32 6 0 2 44 11 10 20 Scott Hatteberg 70 .295 .357 .403 .760 129 17 38 5 0 3 52 19 9 15 Bobby Crosby 63 .200 .313 .418 .731 110 21 22 4 1 6 46 10 18 22 Adam Melhuse 18 .158 .333 .316 .649 19 5 3 0 0 1 6 5 5 8 Mark McLemore 18 .105 .292 .105 .397 19 2 2 0 0 0 2 0 5 2 G BA OBP SLG OPS AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO A's 103 .278 .356 .457 .813 1329 205 369 64 5 55 608 197 154 231
Let's be a little realistic. Above are the splits for the Oakland A's hitters in 2004 against left-handers.
Let's write the line-up and batting order according to a few factors for the A's when facing a left-handed starting pitcher:
- On Base Percentage: this is rather a no brainer as you want players who get on base as much as possible and limit the number of outs they create.
- On Base Plus Slugging: the players who post higher OPS number are hitter you want in the meaty part of the batting order, 2-3-4-5.
- Pitches Per Plate Appearance: A crucial statistic that is neglected by a great many baseball fan since it is hard to find the data (it's not on the back of a baseball card) and relate.
- Isolated Power: a not so complicated statistic, but easy to relate to if you just remember that Isolated Power = Slugging Percentage - Batting Average (base hits that were not singles).
- Batting Average: The overrated and misunderstood statistic, but still valuable tool if used correctly.
- Base Running Ability: Cannot be judged accurately by current available statistic formulas and relatively useless as the A's don't rack up steals so secondary average is moot, too (and stolen bases are a poor reflection of true base running ability or speed) - this will be a judgment call.
NOTE: We could devise a formula based on runs scored and On Base Percentage based on league averages and slugging percentage of hitters behind the batter...but then, there is sanity to consider.
RANKINGS VS LEFT-HANDED PITCHING OBP PPA ISO BA BR TOTAL Byrnes 2 12 1 1 A 16 Chavez 1 4 3 2 A 10 Crosby 11 3 5 10 A 29 Durazo 7 8 7 6 B 28 Dye 3 2 6 8 B 19 Hatteberg 6 10 11 4 B 31 Kielty 9 5 2 9 B 25 Kotsay 5 11 9 5 B 30 McLemore 12 7 12 12 C 43 Melhuse 10 1 8 11 C 30 Miller 4 9 10 3 C 26 Scutaro 8 6 4 7 A 25
Well, based on those gross totals, you can tell who should not be in the line-up against left-handed starters. Namely Mark McLemore and Adam Melhuse. Which is fine, since they can be in a platoon. Scott Hatteberg's numbers suggest he should be dropped in the batting order if he must be in the line up. Mark Kotsay and Bobby Crosby might be considered candidates for a day off, too when a left-hander comes around...but, wait a minute. Shouldn't these rankings be weighted? How much more important is On Base Percentage to Batting Average and how much more important is working the count (PPA) to Isolated Power?
Hmm.
And are these statistics just for 2004? Should we look at career numbers or just numbers over the last three years? What about Crosby and Skootch, are their rookie numbers really enough to make such decisions on numbers?
Uhm.
And who cares about base running ability - who can go from first to third on a base hit or who can score from second on a base hit? If they get a decent lead and run hard any player should be able to avoid being nailed (that would be the old wisdom - new knowledge suggests players hug the next base and NEVER stray lest the base paths open up swallow the runner hole into a pit of despair never to be seen or heard form again, sort of like Gil Gerard or Shelly Long).
Without an extensive database with statistics to refer to or decent coffee, let's just stick with some relative numbers; On-Base Percentage and Slugging Percentage and refer only to the other numbers if we hit a problem.
1 Byrnes CF 2 Kielty 2B 3 Chavez 3B 4 Dye RF 5 Miller LF 6 Scutaro CF 7 Durazo DH 8 Hatteberg 1B 9 Crosby SS
From the looks of things, the A's don't necessarily need a right-handed hitting threat to compensate for left-handed pitching. They have that in Eric Byrnes and Jermaine Dye and (eek!) Skootch. What they do need is a 1st Base/DH type that can hit left-handers...and don't say Eric Karros.
Honestly, if Bobby Crosby's numbers improve, which they should, the A's should be okay in the last six months of the season, oops six weeks. There are no vast, lurking crafty left-handers to spoil their run. Oh, except Kenny Rogers in Texas and Ted Lilly in Toronto and C.C. Sabathia and Cliff Lee in Cleveland and Jamie Moyer in Seattle...and Scott Kazmir in today’s' game. The A's will most likely face all of these pitchers and possibly Rogers and Moyer twice down the stretch. Luckily for the A's Jarrod Washburn of the Angels is still on the Disabled List.
Otherwise the A's have six and possibly seven games against very tough left-handed starters were the offense will have to get the A's pitchers at least 4 runs to have a chance of winning. Anything less than 4 runs a game and the A's facing a left-handed starter the odds become very slim the A's can manage a win.
Looking at the other top teams in the American League; Minnesota has Johan Santana. Hey, there really is a shortage of quality left-handed pitching in the major leagues! The problem for the A's is some of the top left-handed starting pitching stands between them and another American League West title. Good thing the A's have Mark Mulder, Barry Zito and Mark Redman on their staff, otherwise we'd start to worry.
Maybe Jeff Kent wasn't such a bad idea. Kent could play 2nd, Skootch could move to shortstop. Or Kent could play first base.
Of course, if you have $1.8 million the A's would have to spend to lease Kent for the rest of the year contact Steve Schott and Ken Hoffman at (510)638-4900. Call them collect.
It looks like Mark Kotsay will start in center tonight and resume his usual place in the leadoff spot. Keep an eye out for any extraneous grimacing or movement in regard to his right shoulder. Skootch is on the bench and Mark McLemore will be playing 2nd base and batting in the two hole (we don't know why - the numbers just don't match up).
There might be some extra curricular activity tonight with Dewon Brazleton starting. Brazleton hit Erubiel Durazo with a pitch Sunday that started some odd reaction from the pitcher and Tampa Bay. Will there be any pitches above the neck tonight? Probably not.
Justin Duchscherer nailed Toby Hall last night in the top of the 5th. Hall is a catcher. There were two outs. Duchscherer had smacked down the Devil Rays after Mark Redman did his best Mark Redman impression at the Coliseum. It was a safe time to hit a batter with the 9th place hitter coming up after Hall...though, Geoff Blum didn't act like a No. 9 hitter last night (3 for 5, 3 RBI, two runs a 3 Run HR and a double).
You don't think Duchscherer was hitting Hall intentionally?
The A's exploded for four more runs in the bottom half of the inning.
Maybe it was just poetic justice, then.
A few quick notes before the rundown and such;Mark Kotsay looking like he was working his right shoulder and fidgeting last night after diving for two low liners in center. More so after the second sprawl in the 6th off the base hit by Aubrey Huff. It looked like he rolled over his right shoulder with his arm under him. A little awkward, but not too awkward. He still went up hacking during his at-bat in the bottom of the 8th and he didn't seem too concerned with it. But it is something to note since he does have a history with his back (who doesn't have a history with their back?). With a night game Saturday he may or may not start. Call it 6-4 and pick 'em.
Lou Pinella set the American League record (again) for slowest stroll back to the dugout after arguing a call with an umpire in the 6th. A 34 step walk turns into a 3 and a half minute amble for Lou and he never seems to take a straight line back to the dugout.
Marco Scutaro did a little extra flexing of his knee after snaring a ground ball in the 9th. He was most likely going to be out of the lineup on Saturday with a right-handed pitcher starting, anyway.
More…
The UV rating for yesterday's game was 8. Very HIGH.
Pfft.
Wasn't that high. The sunburn is only kind of purple, but mostly red.
The final game of the season series with the Orioles was fraught with delectable tidbits to mentally munch on over the weekend:
- The A's swept the season series with the Orioles 7-0.
- Miguel Tejada was held in check, though he denies he was pressing too hard to perform well.
- A's starters got the win in 6 of the 7 games.
- A's hit 12 homeruns in the seven games; 4 by Erubiel Durazo, 2 by Jermaine Dye and 2 by Eric Chavez.
- The A's outscored the Orioles 41-14.
- Bobby Crosby went hitless the entire season series (but walked five times).
A disturbing note for those of you who come to the ballpark early; yesterday's pregame PA music included a selection that might cause harm and irreparable damage. Paula Abdul - Straight Up, Taylor Dayne - Don't Rush Me, Bobby Brown - My Prerogative, Billy Ocean - Get Outta My Dreams (and Into My Car)...the horror....the horror...Can you hear me all the way back in 1989?
THE SERIES AT A GLANCE - HITTING
G AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI TB BB SO BYRNES 7 32 4 9 1 0 1 5 13 0 4 DURAZO 7 27 5 12 2 0 4 11 26 3 6 DYE 7 26 6 4 0 0 2 7 10 4 7 HATTEBERG 7 26 7 11 3 0 1 8 17 5 3 CHAVEZ 6 25 6 9 2 0 2 2 17 4 7 KOTSAY 6 23 4 4 1 0 0 1 5 5 1 SCUTARO 7 23 1 7 0 0 1 3 10 0 3 CROSBY 6 17 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 7 MILLER 4 12 1 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 3 MELHUSE 3 10 3 5 1 0 1 3 9 3 2 MCLEMORE 4 14 1 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 2 KIELTY 2 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MCMILLON 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 OBP SLG AVG OPS TPA NP PPA XBH G0 AO GO/AO BYRNES .281 .406 .281 .687 32 96 3.00 2 6 13 .540 DURAZO .500 .963 .444 1.463 30 130 4.34 6 3 6 .500 DYE .267 .385 .154 .652 30 122 4.07 2 7 7 1.14 HATTEBERG .516 .654 .423 1.170 31 116 3.742 4 6 6 1.00 CHAVEZ .448 .680 .360 1.128 29 106 3.66 4 2 7 .290 KOTSAY .321 .217 .174 .538 28 102 3.64 1 7 11 .640 SCUTARO .304 .435 .304 .739 23 79 3.44 1 4 9 .560 CROSBY .261 .000 .000 .261 24 114 4.75 0 4 7 .710 MILLER .500 .333 .333 .833 16 60 3.75 0 3 2 1.50 MELHUSE .615 .900 .500 1.515 13 56 4.308 2 1 2 .500 MCLEMORE .266 .214 .214 .480 16 66 4.125 0 7 3 2.33 KIELTY .000 .000 .000 .000 5 13 2.6 0 3 2 1.50 MCMILLON 1.000 .000 .000 1.000 1 5 5.00 0 0 0 000 THE SERIES AT A GLANCE - PITCHING