ELEPHANTS IN OAKLAND
an Oakland Athletics Blog:
Pitching, Defense and the Three Run Jimmy-Jack


ELEPHANTS IN OAKLAND
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Wednesday, May 31, 2006
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VALIDATION STATION


- CAKE, Nugget



Nate Silver comes to the rescue with a review of the, as he states, "Oakland Elephants".

Silver essentially puts in graphical terms what has been said for some time; the A's are not watertight, airtight or even loosely packed in the overhead bin. Even as A's fans profess that all of the A's are MVP candidates, only Frank Thomas, Barry Zito and Jason Kendall have even been selected to an All Star team. Only Zito has an outside chance at one in the next few seasons. Not that All Star Games mean a damn thing.

Back to Nate Silver's article. I don't want to cull too much and rip off Silver or BP so I'll try to keep matters thin and get through some of the main points.

Silver systematically goes through the A's, surgically displacing myth with pathos.

Silver levels the Bobby Crosby expectations.
    "He's a good player, but he’s not the second cheap superstar that a team like the A’s may require."



He lowers the boom on the late Eric Byrnes parade - now Nick Swisher party.
    "I am hedging just a little bit with Swisher because the bar is set pretty high for a slow corner outfielder...I think he settles in as a .255/.375/.550 guy and a perennial stathead favorite."



The effects of the A's (by my estimation, purposely) driving down attendance.
    "Being the second team in a two-team market is precarious if you aren’t playing well enough to pull in the requisite walk-up sales."



Silver also touches on the questionable pitching decisions, the empty cupboard in the minor leagues and Daric Barton's lack of progress. Several players have outperformed Barton at the plate in Sacramento this season; Doug Clark, Matt Watson, Jeremy Brown, Charles Thomas. The A's were once rich with pitching talent and are now embarrassingly thin. Why oh, why is Kirk Saarloos starting and Chad Gaudin held in reserve.

Another topic Silver lists with a graph, but not text - Ken Macha is average/fringe.

Silver touches on some names; Piazza, Willis, Hudson. With Hudson, I think the A's should really consider packaging Dan Meyer and Charles Thomas with someone like Cliff Pennington off to Atlanta for Hudson and Brian McCann or Jarrod Saltalamacchia. Call it a bundled rebate.

Silver doesn't want to paint a bleak picture, but it's hard not to with all the variables the A's have stacked against themselves.

To be blunt, here's Silver's analysis:
    "...And there is just too much chance that a poor season risks testing the patience of Beane and the fanbase...All of these factors call for a more aggressive approach in Oakland."

Maybe I am stretching and overreaching. But what I read is, the A's have been making some pretty bad decisions the last few years and Billy Beane's been lazy.

Again, maybe I am stretching it. But I don’t think so. I think there is more than enough to shatter the legend of Billy Beane and start picking up stones to throw. As an owner and General Manager, he bares an overwhelmingly huge responsibility for delivering.

The days where Beane could cover up his free agent tracks with trades are over. Now it’s all about the work. Quite frankly, it hasn’t been getting done. Drafts have been bare and picks have been pruned. The A’s are in for a world of hurt before the decade is out unless something happens in the next 9 months. In March 2007, the A’s will be in their 10th season under Billy Beane’s control.

The tarnish is showing and the apathy is growing thick. As much as most like, admire and respect Beane and the A’s limited accomplishments, there are those growing wary, those who loathe, and those with venomous bile raging in their mouths. Two expansion franchises, the Angels, the Red Sox, the White Sox and the Yankees have won World Series in the last eight seasons.

The A’s are still on the outside, wondering why they haven’t been given a championship, yet.

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GAME 54 ELARTON vs BLANTON


KANSAS CITY
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
 
OAKLAND
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
DeJESUS
CF
.206
.270
.412
.682
 
KOTSAY
CF
.275
.332
.402
.734
GRUDZIELANEK
2B
.318
.353
.425
.777
 
SWISHER
LF
.310
.410
.641
1.051
BROWN
LF
.265
.333
.416
.749
 
CHAVEZ
3B
.275
.367
.539
.906
STAIRS
1B
.250
.327
.457
.783
 
THOMAS
DH
.219
.350
.445
.795
GRAFFANINO
3B
.263
.333
.404
.737
 
CROSBY
SS
.249
.289
.407
.696
COSTA
RF
.278
.317
.443
.761
 
PAYTON
RF
.256
.276
.354
.630
BERROA
SS
.249
.260
.382
.641
 
JOHNSON
1B
.193
.283
.274
.557
BAKO
C
.250
.278
.269
.547
 
KENDALL
C
.263
.364
.307
.671
GERMAN
DH
.372
.467
.436
.903
 
SCUTARO
2B
.149
.288
.224
.511
ROYALS
IP
K/9
WHIP
ERA
 
ATHLETICS
IP
K/9
WHIP
ERA
ELARTON
RHP
64.1
3.50
1.35
4.76
 
BLANTON
RHP
58.1
4.78
1.59
6.02




BATTING
G
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
TB
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
KANSAS CITY
50
1693
200
440
103
8
39
676
192
130
320
17
10
.260
.317
.399
.716
OPPONENTS
50
1717
324
503
91
7
76
836
304
207
258
23
11
.293
.372
.487
.859
PITCHING
G
GS
W
L
SV
QS
IP
H
ER
R
HR
BB
SO
K/9
P/GS
WHIP
ERA
ROYALS
50
50
13
37
8
11
430.0
503
298
324
76
207
258
5.40
85.6
1.65
6.24


BATTING
G
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
TB
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
OAKLAND
52
1763
234
435
74
7
62
709
221
204
301
13
7
.247
.329
.402
.731
OPPONENTS
52
1772
249
480
92
10
59
769
236
187
313
25
18
.271
.346
.434
.780
PITCHING
G
GS
W
L
SV
QS
IP
H
ER
R
HR
BB
SO
K/9
P/GS
WHIP
ERA
ATHLETICS
52
52
23
29
14
23
459.0
480
234
249
59
187
313
6.14
99.1
1.45
4.59

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Tuesday, May 30, 2006
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GAME 53 BAUTISTA vs HALSEY


KANSAS CITY
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
 
OAKLAND
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
DeJESUS
CF
.138
.194
.276
.469
 
KOTSAY
CF
.281
.336
.412
.748
GRUDZIELANEK
2B
.312
.348
.422
.770
 
SWISHER
LF
.303
.407
.629
1.037
SANDERS
DH
.239
.274
.471
.745
 
CHAVEZ
3B
.279
.371
.545
.917
BROWN
RF
.267
.333
.422
.756
 
THOMAS
DH
.227
.360
.461
.821
GRAFFANINO
3B
.266
.339
.413
.752
 
CROSBY
SS
.233
.276
.366
.642
GERMAN
LF
.387
.477
.453
.931
 
MELHUSE
C
.255
.317
.473
.789
MIENTKIEWICZ
1B
.258
.335
.368
.703
 
PAYTON
RF
.252
.273
.333
.606
BERROA
SS
.244
.256
.375
.631
 
JOHNSON
1B
.189
.272
.273
.545
BUCK
C
.245
.294
.373
.667
 
ELLIS
2B
.228
.302
.327
.629
ROYALS
IP
K/9
WHIP
ERA
 
ATHLETICS
IP
K/9
WHIP
ERA
BAUTISTA
RHP
27.2
5.86
1.48
4.55
 
HALSEY
LHP
40.0
4.95
1.45
3.60

BATTING
G
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
TB
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
KANSAS CITY
49
1649
192
424
100
8
38
654
184
126
313
16
10
.257
.314
.397
.711
OPPONENTS
49
1676
317
492
88
7
73
813
297
200
250
22
11
.294
.372
.485
.857
PITCHING
G
GS
W
L
SV
QS
IP
H
ER
R
HR
BB
SO
K/9
P/GS
WHIP
ERA
ROYALS
49
49
12
37
7
11
420
492
291
317
73
200
250
5.36
85.3
1.65
6.24
BATTING
G
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
TB
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
OAKLAND
51
1722
227
424
71
7
59
686
214
197
293
12
7
.246
.328
.398
.726
OPPONENTS
51
1728
241
464
89
10
58
747
228
183
306
24
18
.269
.344
.432
.777
><
PITCHING
G
GS
W
L
SV
QS
IP
H
ER
R
HR
BB
SO
K/9
P/GS
WHIP
ERA
><
ATHLETICS
51
51
23
28
14
23
449
464
226
241
58
183
306
6.13
99.6
1.44
4.53

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WHOA THERE, NOW


- Elvis Costello, The Other Side of Summer



I wasn't sure how to reference this post, either with Howard Zinn's You Can't Be Neutral on a Moving Train or actually showing the diagrams for jumping from a moving train.

So I will do neither.

Where is all of this animosity and apathy going to get you? You know Ken Macha's history. You know the fortitude of the front office. Why allow them to dictate your feelings?

A few wins might not cure all ills, either. But it's a start.

When are they going to come? Pray for rain all you want, it won't make it come any sooner.



The last week or so has been quite an embarrassment. The A's were spared quite a scene as John Rheinecker's start for the Texas Rangers was pushed from Sunday to Monday, thus allowing the A's to slink out of town.

Rheinecker's Line:


29 MAY 2006
IP
H
R
ER
BB
SO
HR
BF
G/F
P/S
ERA
RHEINECKER
8.1
4
0
0
1
6
0
30
14/5
110/74
1.46



Let's see, the A's trade away Freddie Bynum and John Rheinecker and get Juan Dominguez. The Rangers trade Bynum to the Cubs and get John Koronka. So, the Rangers got 2/5 of their starting rotation and the A's got another Juan Cruz without the strikeouts.

Something that swirled around in my brain during the Texas series was the number of home grown players that are on the Rangers' roster. Their entire infield; Teixeira, Kinsler, Young, Blalock and 2/3 of their outfield, Mench, Botts are all from within the organization. Their trifles with Alex Rodriguez still netted Alfonso Soriano and he got Brad Wilkerson in return. Where the Rangers are hurting is pitching. But three or four pitchers versus six position players - a few who could be MVP's, makes it seem like the A's minor league system is stuck in neutral.

But let's get back to the issue at hand; the Oakland A's.

The A's are losing baseball games because they aren't scoring enough runs. Bitch and moan all you want about injuries to the pitching staff, but the fact is the staff has pitched well. It hasn't been managed well, Ken Macha manages the bullpen like he manages his sock and underwear drawers, but the A's have pitched better than they or the media would have you believe.

AMERICAN LEAGUE
G
IP
P/GS
P/PA
ERC
ERC%
DIPS
RS
ERA
Detroit
51
453.1
91.2
3.64
3.51
1.04
4.34
5.08
3.38
Chicago Sox
50
445.0
102.0
3.79
3.89
0.96
4.50
5.70
4.04
NY Yankees
49
435.2
92.8
3.79
3.98
0.95
4.28
5.99
4.17
Texas
51
451.1
91.3
3.79
4.36
0.96
4.37
5.18
4.53
Oakland
51
449.0
99.6
3.81
4.78
1.05
4.77
4.55
4.53