ELEPHANTS IN OAKLAND
an Oakland Athletics Blog:
Pitching, Defense and the Three Run Jimmy-Jack


ELEPHANTS IN OAKLAND
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Thursday, December 28, 2006
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ZITO FALLS

Barry Zito has agreed to a 7-year $126 Million contract with the San Francisco Giants.


There's a lot to be made of this signing and you can draw a lot from the decision.


Zito is gone, but not forgotten. Let's move forward with A's baseball.


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Thursday, December 07, 2006
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2007 RULE V DRAFT

The A's made little bit of noise by paying the Tampa Bay Devil Rays $100,000 for the rights to the first pick of the 2007 Rule V Draft. The Devil Rays did the A's bidding by picking up perennial Indians prospect Ryan Goleski.


Goleski never ranked very high on the Indians list of prospects simply because his high-end tools were already in place in more prominent players ahead of him. Pronk, Brad Snyder and Ryan Garko, to be specific. Goleski has the best power and the best outfield arm in the Indians system. Coming over to the A's, with their lack of outfield arms and power - Goleski inherently goes to the top of the list.


Goleski has an excellent chance at sticking for 2007. When a team drafts a player via the Rule V draft the player must remain on the team's 25 Man Roster for the entire season or be offered back to the team the player was drafted from for half of the cost ($50,000). The A's had Tyler Johnson from the Cardinals in camp in 2005. He didn't stick with the A's. But this season Johnson was dominant for the Cardinals down the stretch and into the playoffs.


The last Rule V player to stick around for the A's was Jeremy Fikac. Another shot in Ken Macha's bullpen locker.


Anyway.


The A's also picked up Jay Marshall from the Chicago White Sox. Not Sean Marshall for the Chicago Cubs, but both Marshalls and Johnson would make a pretty good 3-on-3 basketball team. All are 6'5" or taller and left-handed. Jay Marshall pitched more than 60 innings for the first time in his professional career after being made a full time reliever.


RYAN GOLESKI





YearTeamLgAgeLevel
G
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
SO
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
2001E MichNCAA19NCAA
44
142
32
44
11
0
12
36
8
47
.310
.369
.641
1.010
2002E MichNCAA20NCAA
58
218
62
83
17
3
22
70
28
49
.381
.461
.789
1.250
2003E MichNCAA21NCAA
53
212
43
69
14
1
17
61
25
47
.325
.394
.642
1.036
Mah VNYPL21A-
64
243
39
72
15
2
8
37
21
66
.296
.358
.473
.831
2004Lake CtySAL22A
130
505
83
149
22
5
28
104
55
100
.295
.370
.525
.895
2005KinstonCaro23A+
122
458
59
97
27
0
17
67
39
134
.212
.276
.382
.658
2006KinstonCaro24A+
38
121
28
40
7
0
10
43
25
30
.331
.441
.636
1.077
AkronEast24AA
87
324
48
96
24
0
17
63
36
87
.296
.370
.528
.898
563
2109
316
551
122
7
97
381
215
551
.261
.333
.464
.797





One of the things to look at when scouring minor league hitters with power is to also check the doubles column. Don't transfix on the HRs. If you have a player with a high HR rate, odds are that the strikeout rate is high, too. And the walk total is low. You could have a guess and swing hitter who hits a lot of long flyballs but who also strikeouts a lot. Even if there are a decent number of walks, you can't tell if pitchers are trying to get him to chase or if the player has a command of the strike zone.


In Goleski's case, the number of doubles against the number of HR looks a bit off. You can suggest that perhaps he's a station-to-station base runner and doesn't risk taking chances on doubles and would 'lay up' for singles...yah. That doesn't work. I'm very curious if Goleski has had some injury concerns. There is no questioning his arm strength which is why he is in the outfield. Were the Indians trotting him out there because of his arm and the players ahead of him at 1st base? With that arm, could Goleski be converted into a catcher?


JAY MARSHALL



Year
Team
Lg
Age
Level
W
L
ERA
G
GS
GF
SV
IP
H
R
ER
HR
BB
SO
H9
HR9
BB9
K9
WHIP
2003
Bristol
App
20
Rk
2
0
2.61
10
10
0
0
41.1
38
15
12
3
13
42
8.27
0.65
2.83
9.15
1.23
2004
Bristol
App
21
Rk
1
6
3.59
11
11
0
0
57.2
63
31
23
8
8
52
9.83
1.25
1.25
8.12
1.23
GTF
Pio
21
Rk
2
0
3.45
4
2
1
0
15.2
19
9
6
2
6
17
10.91
1.15
3.45
9.77
1.60
2005
GTF
Pio
22
Rk
2
0
2.70
29
0
16
6
43.1
35
20
13
3
7
43
7.27
0.62
1.45
8.93
0.97
2006
WiSa
Caro
23
A+
5
1
1.02
58
0
4
62
46
11
7
2
8
44
6.68
0.29
1.16
6.39
0.87
Totals
12
7
2.50
112
23
10
220
201
86
61
18
42
198
8.22
0.74
1.72
8.10
1.10



Marshall is a big, lanky, LOOGY. Cheap and I suggested yesterday, if Forst is loading up on LOOGYs to corner the market, so much the better. Around June there might be a need for LOOGY relief with another team and the A's would have several options to barter with. This is the way the A's operate, efficient to the point of being cheap. That's why I root for the A's. Who wants to root for Microsoft and Proctor 7 Gamble and the IRS?




In the minor league rounds the A's picked up Andy Shipman from the Cubs in the first round of the triple a phase and Josh Alliston from the Brewers in the second round. Both are right-handed relievers. Usually this is where Beane and Forst try to cheaply fill up the minor league team rosters. Much easier than signing minor league free agents.


As far as losses, the A's lost Jared Burton to the Reds with the 15th pick of the Major League phase. Burton was effective as Stockton's closer in 2005. Effective, but not impressive. Burton was three years older than the average hitter and about two years older in Midland last year where he got knocked around. Burton was a starter in college and converted into a reliever. He has had a very good minor league career. It is still a question if he can be effective against major league hitters.

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Wednesday, December 06, 2006
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BASEBALL AMERICA's 2007 TOP 10 PROSPECTS: A's

    1. Travis Buck, of


    2. Daric Barton, 1b


    3. Kurt Suzuki, c


    4. Matt Sulentic, of


    5. Jermaine Mitchell, of


    6. Javier Herrera, of


    7. Jason Windsor, rhp


    8. Marcus McBeth, rhp


    9. Justin Sellers, ss


    10. Trevor Cahill, rhp






The write up is by John Manuel and there seemd to be an editing issue in a few places.





I'll try to graph up some tables for you tonight.
.

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SIGNINGS AND RUMORS

Hey, there's been a dealy in information coming from my brain. Bank of American needed several hours of convincing that the $2045.66 deposited into my account was not mine. Amazing how much it takes to have a bank investigate an error rather than just cover it up.


Some poor sod was out $2045.66


'Course, now that he got 2,000 quid, he ain't so po' is 'e?


The A's signed Alan Embree, Ricardo Rincon's less flashy, but more effective twin today with a two-year deal and a team option for a 3rd. Embree made $850,000 last year, so the total deal has to be in the $2.25 Million area, including buyout. Embree isn't exactly a LOOGY.


ERA
W
L
SV
SVO
G
GS
CG
IP
H
R
ER
HR
BB
SO
AVG
Total
5.00
8
10
1
4
211
0
0
157.2
161
96
87
21
40
128
.264
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
HBP
SO
SB
CS
AVG
OBP
SLG
OPS
vs. Left
309
0
82
15
1
9
45
16
2
67
19
4
.265
.299
.408
.706
vs. Right
302
96
79
24
4
12
53
24
1
61
6
0
.262
.311
.487
.798



Embree was decent as a reliever last season in San Diego and he was incredibly lucky away from PETCO. Embree is another one of those arbitrary pitchers that teams historically, "need to have in order to round out a bullpen". Embree doesn't provide much of an advantage over any other situational reliever even with his portsidedness. Hopefully David Forst is stocking the shelves with tradeable commodities.


The A's are also close on a decision by Mike Piazza. All things being unequal - Piazza more than likely will sign with Oakland. Would you want to sign with Texas for more money to catch in 100 degree heat? Yah, I didn't think so. Piazza's agent is smart enough to see what Frank Thomas did for his career in one season with Oakland. Imagine two.


There are some rumors swirling about the Mets with Aaron Heilman and Lastings Milledge for Rich Harden or Joe Blanton. I'm not sold on Milledge, he's 10 pounds of hype in a 5 pound sack. Harden or Blanton, can you tell me with some sound data analysis which will be the better pitcher in 2007 and in 2008? Heilman we know is good. Solid K/IP numbers and a groundball pitcher. I'd take Heilman over Blanton and Harden based on injury risk. The Rockies have long been wanting Milledge; Jason Jennings or Brad Hawpe or Matt Holliday sound like good compensation if he were to be spun off in another deal.


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Friday, December 01, 2006
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MIDDLE GROUND

There doesn't seem to be anything up the middle in this year's free agent market. Those who were signed are overpaid and a few do not deserve major league jobs. You really have to wonder about the coaching at high school, college and in the minor league systems for middle infielders. There does not seem to be much in the way of ability at shortstop and second base. Even from the Latin American outlets. If Asian leagues want to exploit MLB - middle infield would be the route to go.




2nd Base
 
Player
Age
 
Ronnie Belliard
31
Still don't see it.
Miguel Cairo
32
Brian Cashman must be blackmailed on a regular basis.
Chris Gomez
35
At that age, he's going to fall. Fast. Wouldn't be a bad back-up/tutor for another team.
Mark Loretta
35
635 Abs, 5 HR. OBP is good. But, old and expensive and no range. 3rd base?
Chris Woodward
30
No.
3rd base
Tomas Perez
32
Career .291 OBP.
Jose Vizcaino
38
Career OPS of about .650.



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KEVIN GOLDSTEIN
2005 Wrap-up
2004 BA's Top 10 Giants v A's
2004 BA's Top 10 Prospects


MATT WATSON
WATSON - Part 1
WATSON - Part 2

WATSON - Part 3


WILL CARROLL
THE JUICE

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